Road to Peace-Global Environmental System Design Theory (Building an Autonomous Decentralized Control Society)
Chairman of the World NGO Peace Ambassadors Council
Katsuyuki Kawaguchi, Chairman of the Japan-Korea Tunnel Promotion Nagasaki Council
In "Trump Phenomenon and Democracy, Shincho 45, May Issue," Keishi Saeki said, "Democracy is a politics that has fallen into <arrogance> in which human beings try to satisfy their desires beyond their territory. He argued that it was a system, and in addition, he said that the Trump phenomenon "must be divided into democracy."Democracy and capitalism can be negative "synchronization" rather than compatible.
Commentator Kazuo Mizuno said, "Trump is the 17st century version of Chancellor Olimbares, who tried to stop the decline of Spain in the early 21th century. Crush into.
This is the lesson of history. ".My sense of crisis is that there are no "people" in the political and bureaucratic community who understand science and technology in Japan.Blinded by the success of a technology-based nation, science and technologyNameIt has been done.The reason is that there is no successful example (trial) of a large state-led project, except for the privatization of the national railway (led by Keidanren Toshiwo Doko).
The world (earth) that has become so "funny" due to the connection between science and technology and the economy can only be restored by science and technology.
In the above-mentioned issues that are the basis of the construction of "Global Environmental System Design Theory", in the current complicated society, the political and bureaucratic communities are required to have the ability to master science and technology.
The fact that politicians do not understand science and technology and have thrown policies to non-professional bureaucrats is the cause of the blunder of state-led big professionals so far.Bureaucrats do nothing unprecedented.DisagreeableIs there no creativity?I can't do it.
The guiding principle of science comes out to the world through inventions and discoveries, but "technology" is to raise it to "things" and "systems" that contribute to society.This is intelligent design. Even if we know the guiding principle that "it can be done in this way", it cannot become a "thing" unless the technology (this is called peripheral technology) that realizes it is integrated.
In the first placeThe difference between "science" and "technology", "things" and "systems" are not determined by "high-tech technology", but the mass media and the political and bureaucratic communities have a common understanding that "lowest technology" is used. There is no..Therefore, we often make mistakes about the adaptability of science and technology to society.This decisively upsets the "authenticity" eye.
Russia's Khrushchev says, "Politicians are willing to build bridges even in the absence of rivers."There is something in common with Caesar's "humans can only see what they want to see", and as shown in Montvel's "Lesson before going to Sabbath" (Fig. 2.1), there is room for the "devil of corruption" to take advantage of. is there.
Economy and science and technology have long been compatible, for example, called "financial engineering" and used to develop theories to collect money, or physicists enter Wall Street to trade stocks and differences. "High Frequency Trading" Information equipment is being developed and only money accounts are being traded.It's enough to make you feel uncomfortable with true economics, either because the assumptions themselves are wrong, or because the information itself feels like a Shylock of a Venice merchant who "uses it only for making money."A strategy to buy and sell stocks one millionth of a second faster than competitors has been implemented, creating an "information processing world" that humans cannot control.I would like to touch on this again if I have the opportunity.
Today's economics does not represent the reality. Since "collection" is a non-linear phenomenon, the economic theory so far has not noticed that it will occur, although it cannot be predicted.As you can see from the movement of stock prices, when you forecast a stock price, investors buy and sell stocks based on that forecast.If many investors buy and sell stocks under this forecast, the forecast itself will affect stock price fluctuations.
Such an interdependent relationship is called a "non-linear relationship or a dependent relationship".In other words, gold collection and price are not independent but subordinate, so a linear relationship does not hold.When there is non-linearity, it is almost impossible to predict in principle.Such unpredictability is referred to as deterministic chaos in intelligent design.The reason for developing the idea of "complex adaptive system" as it is by transitioning from the conventional academic system centered on analysis is (II) Katsuyuki Kawaguchi "World Sum". Research "2015).
Everything increases linearly at first, but then profits saturate and peak.So is the intelligence curve.Just as the earth has its limits, everything has its limits.Let's talk about a jet engine that challenged that "limit" and succeeded.The limit point is the turbine rotating in a gas flow of 1,570 ° C, which exceeds the limit temperature (melting temperature) of the superalloy, the gap between the turbine blade and the tip of the casing is 0.5 to 0.7 mm, and the time from start to full load. It takes 2 to 3 minutes, and if you do not clear all of these design conditions, you will not be able to climb up to 1 m in this time.
Moreover, a metal with a length of 1 m will have a heat elongation of 100 mm if there is a temperature difference of 1570 ° C, so even a steam turbine with a low temperature will take a long time to start up in a day. You can see how the jet engine is performing the cargo start-up. The rapid start-up technology that keeps the wing tip gap between 0.5 and 0.7 mm safely until the maximum temperature of XNUMX ° C is reached is truly a divine work.
Turbine blades are "internally cooled" by the high-pressure air of an axial-flow compressor in a complicated internal flow path, and the air after impinging cleaning (spray cooling) is about 0.5 mm of film cooling (spray cooling) at the front and rear edges. It is protected from hot gases such as 1570 ° C by an air film that covers the entire blade from the small holes of the film cooling).The surface temperature of the wing is 900 ° C to 950 ° C.Unless cooled to such a temperature, the melting point of the superalloy material is 1400 ° C. or lower, so that a life of 1 hours cannot be ensured.What if there is foreign debris in the suction air of the axial compressor and the 0.5 mm small hole in the turbine blade is blocked?Since high temperature gas above the melting point collides, it will go to heaven as it is.Figure 7.1 shows the impression of an artist, rather than a life-threatening work of art.
In the high temperature rotating body that is designed to the total limit of the components in this way, the technical level of all the components isAlignThat is essential.Even if the radius of curvature (radius of curvature) at the base of the turbine blade with the desk is slightly small, the blades may be blown off due to stress concentration.Looking at it in this way, you can see that in the mechanical design of comprehensive technology, the value is determined by the elemental technologies that do not pass.
Using high-tech technology naturally increases the "cost".Therefore, make the structure as simple as possible and align the component technology with a passing score of 65 points or more.In this way, the product can be replaced at the "lifetime" according to the design point, so that the circulation according to the economic system becomes possible.This is the essence of intelligent design.Politics is the same.If there is something that fails in life, raise it to the standard and harmonize with the whole.
If there is even one "technology" that is below the passing score, it will cause bankruptcy.Under harsh driving conditions, the margin to the limit point may drop sharply below the passing score.The core melting of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant is a typical "artificial mistake" in which this "defense in depth design" is not functioning.
As an unexpected accident countermeasure, in the case of a new model design, make 20 prototypes, change various different operating conditions, start / stop, fuel, etc. for each, repeat the test, and repeat the accident. Run out.So the development of a jet engine would be extremely expensive,Developed in collaboration with each countryIt is the usual way to be done.Safety design is the most important action item.I think that such research and development of jet engines is enough to convince that "God's creation" and "human creation" are the same thing.After all, any metal operates at the temperature of the gas that melts and flows.
In this way, ultra-high-tech technology can be ruined if one step is mistaken.A society in which "Redundancy Design" becomes a little more common, meaning that "marginal design" itself is a danger that cannot be afforded, rather than being "dangerous in principle" like nuclear technology. Is it possible?
Wall Street's greed drives the economy and science and technology.Wealthy people need to pay more to help others.Then you will find that those statements themselves can be like "advocates".It shakes "collective intelligence" and "group synchronism" occurs.Christ and Nichiren must have been completed in this way.And by exceeding the limit as a human being, it became an "image, light" for an ignorant human being.
Kakuei Tanaka's "Theory of Remodeling the Japanese Islands" is the same as the "Theory of Global Environmental System Design" and its "Direction".Unfortunately, there was no integrated intelligent design (optimal design theory) of religion, art, and science and technology as a methodology.In other words, there was no "sensitivity" of "science and technology" as a real feeling.
Figure 7.1 Organic Turbine Blades (Yamanaka 1999)
From "Study of expression of human inner sensibility"
Figure 7.2 (a) Andre Malraux
It is said that I want to praise it
Figure 7.2 (b) Shingei's waterfall
Figure 7.2 (C) Kaii Higashiyama's evening silence
-Harmony between energy and nature-From "Study of expression of human inner sensibility"