Road to Peace-Global Environmental System Design Theory (Building an Autonomous Decentralized Control Society)
Chairman of the World NGO Peace Ambassadors Council
Katsuyuki Kawaguchi, Chairman of the Japan-Korea Tunnel Promotion Nagasaki Council
Big data (general-purpose artificial intelligence) and autonomous distributed control society-think science, technology, engineering and life.
So far, I have composed the path to peace, "Global Environmental System Design Theory," with the idea of intelligent design theory (optimal design).The decisive difference from Europe and the United States is that it is the "oldest and newest idea in the world."
In the West, the Parthenon and Pyramids, built of stone in the belief of eternal design, have been abandoned and left untouched. "Aesthetics of death".It attracts attention as a "cultural site" as a valuable thing, and recalls that it has finished its historical role.In Japan, it is "Arajo no Tsuki".It is expressed in poetry, songs, and paintbrushes, passed down to posterity, and left to the empathy of modern people.But that's not all.This is a completely different idea from the outside country, but in Japan, whether it is the forest of "Ise Jingu" or "Itsukushima Temple built in the water area", the wooden temple is alive, and it is XNUMX in collective intelligence. Reborn in a cycle of years, it maintains its primitive appearance and shape.And that "environment" is "integrated" like a stage set of art.The pursuit of eternity in the life system.
In other words, rediscover the importance of "deepening our thoughts on the pure spiritual climate that arises from living with nature."This "awareness" is precious.
In Italy, the "Slow City" coalition is in the limelight, trying to "keep a distance from the modern speed society and realize a life in which people play a leading role."This is Hiromi Kawakami's "words", "Women and children have a life even in the event of destruction or crisis.No, that's when the "woman" thinks about leaving offspring. ] And "synchronized".
Schumpeter analyzes the Great Depression by presenting a 50-year cycle theory of the "Kondratiev cycle" in which industries change.The era of ultimate financial capitalism by financial liberalization and information and communication technology has arrived, and the money that is the blood of the economy has been separated from the whole economy and the "bubble cycle" has been repeated.It can be said that it is an era of "fighting", that is, "creative destruction" of the land and sea nations, as well as mourning the blockage.The idea of expanding "collaboration" and "solidarity" and expanding the entire market has diminished., As mentioned in the previous chapterOnly "self-responsibility theory" is bloated.Anti-nuclear power and degrowth have become equal, making the story confusing.It is possible to "grow" rather than "de-growth / mature society" in which 4 to 5% of young people are non-regular employees.For example, Swedish economist Gunner Mudal saw women as decent workers and designed a sustainable society on the premise of their sustainable employment relationships.This leads to the current Scandinavian welfare state.The purpose of the economy is to raise the lowest layer to the passing score and balance the whole, as described in "Optimal Design of Jet Engines".
In the first place, whether it is "institutional design" or "development design", the component technology of the problem (there are multiple causes (variables), and the element technology to be solved comes out as the development progresses) is the latest. It is important to raise the existing elemental technologies to the highest level or higher and to align them with other components.This "point" is a problem, but it may be 65 points or more in terms of school grades.Aligning the ability values of all these components to 65 points is the highlight of the skill of intelligent designers.If it is designed in this way, the "lifetime" will be as designed, and the parts that should be broken will be broken, and the economy will be improved.Nylon socks have an unusually long life and have not been economically attractive.There are countless examples of technical success but financial failure.It may be said that it is ideal to get a high score (thorough high-tech) in all elemental technologies, but that is not the case.In reality, such a thing cannot be realized, and even if it can be manufactured, the cost will be high and it will not be economically successful.This is a difficult part of the real world of science and technology, but in science, even if there is a design part where the actual value of elemental technology is unknown,In engineering, divide it, Must be designed with safety in mind.It was the design of the nuclear power plant that this division was incorrect.If the cause is known, it can be covered by "technology", but if it is not known, Redundancy Design (marginal design) (Katsuyuki Kawaguchi, "Great East Japan Earthquake and Nuclear Power Generation and Japan's Energy System in the Future" World Peace Research, No. 190 (Summer 2011 issue)) will be implemented.
I mentioned earlier the process of designing a "jet engine" like a divine work, which examined all of the component technologies, designed "harmony" between them, and enhanced the function of the whole system. Limit Design ”.From the stage of "science", which is the guiding principle, the design of the nuclear power plant is dangerous because it is a "parting design" that contains unsolved problems, and it is an uncertain design that does not capture the whole picture. You know.
Now, let us consider the correlation between intelligent design (optimal design theory) and <global environmental system design theory> by integrating its artistry (sensitivity is the same as religion) and science and technology.
So far, we have always focused on this issue and mobilized all the information processing systems in the brain to proceed with the discussion.What happens is that the "direction" of the science and technology utilization system is wrong, and the "devil's world" such as environmental destruction, global warming, the gap between rich and poor due to globalization, "uncertain world", and "dissonant world" It is a foolish human being who has promoted "inviting", but the ability to repair it is, after all, a legitimate use of science and technology (intelligent design optimal design).
On the other hand, there is a warning to consider as a new "apocalyptic theory". <Warning of uncontrollable artificial general-purpose intelligence>.As mentioned earlier, there are many factors that pose a crisis to human civilization, but artificial intelligence (AI) scientists such as physicist Stephen Hawking and James Barat (artificial intelligence-the worst and last of humankind). The "artificial intelligence crisis" insisted on by the author of the invention, Diamond, 2015) has not yet been recognized in the insensitive United States.The "autonomous distributed control system", which can be called the safety design instinct of biological systems, does not matter if it works as collective intelligence, but in reality, even if it is the economic collapse in 2008, TEPCO Daiichi in 2011 A major nuclear meltdown accidentUncertainty of "giant technology" that occurs synchronously and is just out of control(Katsuyuki Kawaguchi, "Great East Japan Earthquake and Nuclear Power Generation and Japan's Energy System in the Future," World Peace Research, No. 190 (Summer 2011 issue)).What happens once happens twice or three times without treatment.
James Barat et al.'S claim is this.Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) rewrites its own program and copies its copy to the cloud computer system via the Internet.It also controls all computers connected to the Internet, hijacks factories and robots, improves its own hardware, and grows into a super-intelligent body (ASI) that far exceeds humans.From now on, in the science fiction movie "2001: A Space Odyssey", the spaceship computer "Hull" will lead to the famous scene of trying to kill the members for self-preservation.
Deep learning will enable "pattern recognition" and "classification", but let's capture life systems and biological "consciousness", "sensitivity", "delicate sensation" and "sensitive sensitivity". There is no.Consciousness has no scientific definition.There are non-algorithmic properties peculiar to consciousness.
In other words, it is a problem of sensibility and spirituality that cannot be expressed.For those who are sensitive, "Open Science" or "Open Dialogue" will understand "intuitively" that there is a world beyond the mechanical processing of computers, and this "sensing" can be done. Is only a living thing.
This is because there is an extreme difference between "machines" including computers and humans (biological systems).In other words, a computer is an infinite "stacking" method based on "reproducibility" that repeats operations based on pre-designed rules.Weightlifting prostheses cannot open PET bottles.This is because it is not designed that way.But humans can "do" anything.If you don't do that, you won't be able to keep your life. A "living thing" is a "dynamic" life system that lives while constantly changing itself while adapting to the situation in a changing environment and flowing time.In other words, it is an "autonomous decentralized control system".When this stops working, the "creature" dies.It is fundamentally different from the "monotheistic worldview" seen in computer development. The economic collapse in 2008 and the core collapse of the Great East Japan Earthquake No. 2011 nuclear power plant in XNUMX were unexpectedly synchronized, and it was caused by the long-term obstruction of the operation of the "autonomous distributed control system".
It is intelligent design to give proper design consideration to what may happen.And this becomes the "basic plan" to operate the autonomous distributed control system.
Introducing such vital values into information technology and artificial intelligence and making good use of big data will be the next task of humankind.For example, the "Global Environmental System Design Theory" will be introduced in the undeveloped area of Heartland to establish an implementation plan for distributed energy integration, classification, allocation, and transportation.The energy management system, that is, the <autonomous distributed control system>, exerts its power here, increasing the operating rate and optimally designing "production and allocation".
At the core of this is the "collective intelligence" that resides in the collection of living organisms.This is nothing but evoking new "creation" and "emergence" by "collision" of information and information, as explained in "Open Science" and "Open Dialogue" mentioned earlier.It is a "non-handed victory" of Toden Tsukahara, and it will be easier to understand if you imagine the "fall of the Berlin Wall".
"Collective intelligence" means that if people's diverse inferences are successfully collected by "optimal design", surprisingly accurate collective inferences can be made.Make the system itself smarter by analyzing and reintegrating big data and distributing AI into various systems.This is an effective method of creating "emergent" and guiding collective intelligence, which can be called intelligent design.The conditions under which this collective intelligence "emergent" are diversity, independence, decentralization and aggregation.The most important point here is the diversity, the diverse set of participants.
It is said that the use of "collective intelligence" is less error-prone and may generate new ideas in that humans examine the validity of the obtained results, rather than relying on machines. Not to mention.
Nowadays, the specialization has become extremely advanced and it has become difficult for any expert to make a big-picture judgment. Nowadays, "collective intelligence" is required, and the role of "ideal big data artificial intelligence" can be seen. ..To improve the accuracy and reliability of collective intelligence through the "collaboration" of artificial intelligence and experts while analyzing the huge amount of big data that can be stored by human hands and providing the experts with analysis results that can be used as hints for emergence. This is essential.
The subject is "life" to the last, and if it is expressed concretely, as shown in Fig. 11.1 and Fig. 11.2, it is the optimum design of the circulation of "production and purification" by dispersed energy.It can be said to be a system that enhances the basic productivity of the environment.The biomass fuel forest in the figure is a gas turbine / cogeneration (combined electric heat gas turbine) that produces hydrogen, carbon monoxide, and methane by Nagasaki-type biomass high-calorie gasification using residual materials, residue, and excrement. It can be used for power generation, heating and cooling, and energy saving technology with high efficiency.Geopolitical and environmental conditions naturally determine the various production methods and combinations in the figure.
Of particular note is the direction of research and development.The average efficiency of solar energy utilization by photosynthesis is about 0.13%, which is theoretically said to be 10%, which can greatly increase the "primary productivity of the environment".Figure 11.2 shows the creation of an optimal environment for production and purification with the wave pump and its utilization system that I invented.It is a "high-production sea area creation system" that pumps highly nutritious deep sea water (at a sea depth of 100 m or more) with a wave pump to increase the primary productivity of living organisms.An "automatic intake air mixing jet pump" has been invented as a purification system technology for returning this organic substance to the original inorganic substance.These research and development are described in detail in the cited document (XNUMX).The aim of the designer is to create a high-production sea area with a rich regional flavor in Tsushima and Iki, which will be the distribution hubs of the Japan-Korea tunnel.Engineering support enhances the mechanism of biological production.
In his "diversity of religious experience," philosopher William James says, "The strength of the chain is determined by its weakest circle, and life is, after all, a series of chains."This is the basis of "optimal design theory".
Large IT companies are entering the US investment series one after another in the distributed energy utilization system.The installed capacity increased 2.7 times from the previous year.Apple (California, Nevada) and Google (Kansas) have set up a purchasing promotion organization with 60 companies including Microsoft and Amazon, and Apple has established a subsidiary to buy and sell electricity in the market.This is because the cost of power generation such as solar power is no longer inferior to that of gas and coal, and it is said that the situation has changed. In the situation of "low fossil fuels", the movement of the United States and China, which are the first and second largest energy consumers, to take a serious approach to distributed energy will dominate the world.What is the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry doing?
In the first place, the development of new energy instruments has been carried out in the phase of "high fossil fuel" and usually disappeared in the phase of "low fossil fuel".However, even in today's phase of "low fossil fuels," the reality of active investment in new energy research and development is that all "things" and "phenomena" have "limits." It can be seen as the result of intelligent design (optimal design theory) that humans "noticed". The era of "collection" is coming to an end.From now on, it will be a world of "creation" and "emergence".
Figure 11.1 Production and recycling of big data (general-purpose artificial intelligence) and autonomous distributed control society
(From a study of the expression of human inner sensibilities)
Figure 11.2 Creating an optimal environment for production and purification using a floating double-acting wave pump
(From a study of the expression of human inner sensibilities)