Road to Peace-Global Environmental System Design Theory (Building an Autonomous Decentralized Control Society)
Chairman of the World NGO Peace Ambassadors Council
Katsuyuki Kawaguchi, Chairman of the Japan-Korea Tunnel Promotion Nagasaki Council
There is a method of processing by viewing from a higher level than that, instead of catching an event or phenomenon stuck in it.There is no scientific definition of consciousness.Collective intelligence is the one who has mastered consciousness inexhaustibly.It gives a suggestion that the unknown can be seen there.Figure 5.1 Reorganization of Consciousness-As in the hierarchical structure seen from the unified principle of religion, science, and art, every "thing" has a hierarchical structure.Cells are not understood by each other, and their functions cannot be understood unless they are the "organs" that the cells make up.
METI and shareholders continue to demand a return on equity (ROE) of at least 8%.As any intelligent designer with optimal design will know immediately, it is impossible to raise ROE by the era of zero interest rates.Since part of the overall economic growth is profit, it cannot be achieved without doing various things such as lowering wages and increasing non-regular employees.
If you increase profits by 8% at zero interest rates and negative interest rates, labor costs will be cut.Business owners can't sleep at night.The Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology says that Japan, which is one lap behind, "human resources who can respond to globalization," even though the US global policy is at a standstill.But globalization was started by neoliberals in an attempt to stop the decline.
However, the collection (people, goods, money) has entered a contraction after peaking just before the "economic crisis."International capital flowing into the United States is one-third of its peak (2007).If the United States loses its economic surplus, it is natural that protectionist policies will be taken.
Therefore, the policy of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry is to "work as a minion of the financial economy rather than industry."I don't know about the spread of distributed energy, and since nuclear power generation is base load power generation, it should be continued.However, in reality, the operating rate that determines the mission of nuclear power generation is 63%, the average of nuclear power generation in the world is 80% or more, "Monju" is abolished without operation, and the operating rate of nuclear power generation in Japan is "lowest".It goes without saying that in Japan, an earthquake-prone country, this occupancy rate may drop even further.In addition, according to Makoto Iokibe, the present age is the same as the "Mongol invasion", the "national crisis" of the "catastrophe era."
Currently, "child poverty" and "children's science and technology release" are spreading in Japan, which is an important part of the nation.The challenge for America to succeed is not "technological development" but "management".The plan was made by myself, and all production was outsourced to a foreign country where cheap production was possible.However, the globalized financial economy caused the Great Depression.The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry must not be Americanized.
Japan should emulate Germany, not America.Germany can't swing.We are designing an autonomous decentralized society of decentralized energy by stopping dangerous nuclear power generation.The Fourth Industrial Revolution (thinking factory) is about to occur from Germany.The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry should carry out the construction of the only economic frontier, the path of peace, and the theory of global environmental system design, except for the "collection of money" policy.Volunteer and venture-minded "young people" will be happy to follow suit.
If Japan spends twice as much money as its annual tax revenue and leaves the situation of borrowing the shortfall, economic turmoil will occur that will blow away postwar prosperity.Of course, for the same tax increase, taxing financial assets, strengthening inheritance tax, and strengthening international tax havens are better than regressive consumption tax increases.However, the consumption tax of 10% cannot be said to be high compared to Western countries.This tax increase will be used for increasing medical welfare, so sooner or later everyone will be a beneficiary.
However, there are only voices saying, "The last tax increase in 2014 reduced personal consumption and ruined the results of Abenomics."
Is that really true?It is the idea of intelligent design that you make your own judgment based on facts, and let's consider it with Kosuke Motani's methodology.October 12-September 10, the start of Abenomics, October 13-September 9, and October 13 with the consumption tax hike in order to prevent the effects of last-minute demand and the reactionary decline. Compare from Monday to September 10.During this period, the Nikkei average continued to rise from 14 yen to 9 yen annually, but the year-on-year rate of change in personal consumption was + 14%, 10%, and -15%, respectively.Due to the consumption tax hike, the phenomenon of consumption has become more serious after more than half a year has passed.Why didn't personal consumption rise even though the profits of listed companies were getting better later?
"The root cause of sluggish consumption is due to statistical changes in the demographic structure that are unrelated to tax increases."Born in the 20's, which has a large population, retired and was replaced by young people with low salaries, so the total amount of employee compensation was sluggish and the total amount of consumption decreased.At the same time, this is due to the synergistic effect of the retirement of the baby boomers of large companies and the increase in welfare and long-term care, whose salaries are nearly halved.
What is interesting is that if the tax was raised, the new last-minute demand + 1.3% (group synchronism) was expected as a result, but this is not the case either.If you cannot be aware of the flaws in the economic theory you believed in (reflation theory), what will you do in the future?
In this way, it can be seen that the phenomenon of a complex society is closer to God's judgment in terms of collective intelligence based on a complex adaptive system as it is, that is, how to grasp the synchrony of a group.
As a countermeasure against sluggish personal consumption, we will raise the wages of "young people" who have potential consumer motivation, and at the same time eliminate the disparity that causes corruption. Resurrection of the middle class of "XNUMX million total midstreaming" will increase "domestic demand".In addition, when dealing with serious matters, it is possible to make common sense judgments based on facts.The reconstructed "XNUMX million total middle class" can make smarter decisions, which is the potential to correct the failure of the country's large project so far.
So far, we have shown by concrete examples that collective intelligence (group synchrony) is one level higher than specialized intelligence, but let's take a look at its cutting-edge research and development.
The most interesting application of net collective intelligence is related to fields that do not exist, such as objective evaluation criteria, and is effective for intelligent design of events that do not exist, such as correct answers.
"Open Science" is attracting attention as a new way of "knowledge" in the 21st century.This means that ordinary people (amateur citizens) participate in cutting-edge research and development of science and technology via the Internet, and as an "open science revolution", by Michael Nielsen, Kinokuniya Bookstore, 2013, The current situation is expressed lively. "Open science" is a pure and free research activity that includes "ordinary people" who have nothing to do with the interests of huge organizations, and is one of the typical applications of online collective intelligence.For that purpose, accurate analysis and decomposition of the problem and setting of easy-to-understand objective evaluation criteria (for example, minimizing energy consumption) are premised.
This method breaks down the task (in rugby terminology, the processing of the ball in Scrum) until an individual objective evaluation standard is established, and finally, the Japanese "eight million gods". Then, it is the same as the "optimal design theory" defined in "Which one will you take?"Stopping physicists from spending money on Wall Street, this new way of thinking will help them improve themselves and carry out their administration.Finland is a wonderful country that does it.
According to Tamaki Saito (Professor, University of Tsukuba), "Open Dialogue" (Yako Seitsukura, Tom Erik Arnkil, Nihon Hyoronsha) is a spirit that has been developed and practiced in Finland since the 1980s. It is a technique of therapeutic intervention for disorders.It has achieved extremely good treatment results with almost no drug treatment or inpatient treatment, and is attracting worldwide attention.The results of psychiatric care through Open Dialogue (OD), which can be called "collective intelligence" and "group synchrony," are remarkable. In a 5-year follow-up, 17% of patients continued to take medication (75% in the conventional treatment group) and 19% received a disability pension (62% in conventional treatment). ) Was.
The technical methodology is overwhelmingly simple.The treatment team visits the patient's home.This is sometimes repeated every day.That's it.
This dialogue is not just a dialogue.Open Dialogue does not persuade the patient. "I don't aim to improve. I just think about connecting high-quality dialogues. Through dialogues, various voices are mixed, but perspectives are connected and painful experiences are shared. Then, it's like that kind of work. Treatment is provided as if it were a by-product.
Professor Tom Ernkir of the Finnish National Institute of Health and Welfare is the founder of the "Future Dialogue Technique (AD)" and is developing techniques for support staff.In the field of support, it is necessary to collaborate in multiple specialized fields such as medical care, health prevention, and education.However, in the field of administration, cooperation often fails due to the vertical division mechanism. AD is an epoch-making technique that promotes cooperation among multiple occupations in such cases.
Multiple supporters, recipients and their stakeholders, and a pair of external leaders will participate.They ask all participants to imagine a year from now, in the near future, where all real problems have been resolved.Put yourself in that future point and ask them to "remember" a year ago, the present.What was good about the solution and who helped me?We ask them to "remember" each of these aspects.
The discussion of "who should do what" is easy to confuse over each position and interests.However, if the problem is broken down (decomposed) by the associative ability through the above thinking process, it can be processed in the field of individual responsibility, and the division of roles and responsibility are determined, and an implementation plan diagram is created.This is the same methodology that I talked about in (III) Katsuyuki Kawaguchi, Institute for International Policy Studies.The technique of "remembering" the present from the near future promotes emotional techniques and associative relationships because of its indirectness, and also promotes the stability of thinking and the synchronization of groups due to the complex pairing between diverse occupations. make it easier.And it does not persuade the trainee.We expect them to "feel" naturally.
This is exactly what is applied to the teaching method of Finnish schools, and even though the children's lesson time is short, the current situation where their academic performance is the best in the world seems to be a skill.
The mainstream of modern psychiatry is based on biologicalism centered on drug treatment. Tamaki Saito also argues that the practice of OD and AD poses a claim of significance as the restoration of the relationship between "human beings" and "words" and "subject" and "story".This is nothing but the "revival of spirituality" of the Japanese as a whole, that is, the "revival" of "group synchronism" by collective intelligence.
Finding such a goal itself is a major feature of collective intelligence.In the case of encyclopedia and software development, the goal you want to achieve is given from the outside, but in Nico Nico Douga (video sharing site represented by YouTube), creating a new video is in the process of collective intelligence. Born in.Figure 10.1 shows some of the relevance of that creative act. The circle indicates the video, and the line indicates its use / participation. The size of ○ represents the number of references from others, and the shade of ○ represents different types of creative actions.As you can see from this figure, the relationships are various.
Participants are motivated to make new videos by watching the videos, and they make and post them.The number of related videos that many people are interested in will increase, and related videos will be produced, and as a result, a complex and large-scale video network as shown in the figure will be created.It does not mean there is a goal of the pre-create what the video, the action of the collective intelligence, are those that go finished as a result of the synchronization of the population.In other words, it can be said to be autonomous or emergent collective intelligence.Participants are rich in "diversity" from professionals to amateurs, and their "independence" is maintained.Its characteristic is "distributedness", and one video is connected and generated in large quantities as "large scale".
Figure 10.1 Video network expressing "group synchrony" by collective intelligence (Takeda, 2015)
Such self-organizing and emergent cooperation is also being developed in the academic world.Group synchronization and cooperation are carried out in the form of citations and references to academic papers.As an accumulation of these, scholarship is emergent collective intelligence that decides its own direction.It can be seen that the information processing system of the brain is acting exactly as it is, and it is the same world of "autonomous distributed control" as the world of production and development of Nico Nico Douga.
In this way, a wider range of people can participate via the Internet. It is important to contribute to the "global environment system design theory" and the further development of the academic world.The characteristics of the information processing system of the brain that creates such "autonomous distributed control" are listed again in Figure 10.2.
Figure 10.2 Characteristics of the autonomous distributed control system of the brain-learning controllability by emotional information
From "Study of expression of human inner sensibility"